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Major League Soccer
Apr 13, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Palencia (65'), Bouanga (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Espinoza (90+5')
Wilson (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, April 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Earthquakes 6-1 DC United
Sunday, April 6 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

With the Champions Cup no longer a distraction, LAFC are expected to refocus on the league, and they are anticipated to inflict another loss on their opponents, who have suffered defeat in nine of their last 12 away games in MLS since May 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
64.92% (0.292 0.29) 19.44% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 15.64% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 55.01% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (-0.104 -0.1)39.12% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55% (-0.111 -0.11)61.45% (0.113 0.11)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (0.048000000000002 0.05)11.33% (-0.045 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.99% (0.101 0.1)36.01% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (-0.341 -0.34)37.96% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.332 -0.33)74.73% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 64.91%
    San Jose Earthquakes 15.64%
    Draw 19.44%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.19% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.4% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.03% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.91%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.44%
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.64%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2am
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Bouanga (64'), Atuesta (75'), Santos (90+1')
Yueill (9')
Rodrigues (31'), Akapo (53'), Verhoeven (85')
Aug 14, 2024 3.30am
Round of 16
Los Angeles
4-1
Earthquakes
Olivera (17'), Bouanga (45+5' pen., 66'), Bogusz (61')
Lopez (41')
Yarbrough (45+2'), Russell (50')
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
6-2
Earthquakes
Bogusz (15', 48'), Bouanga (26'), Kamara (33'), Hollingshead (42'), Angel (87')
Rodrigues (45+3'), Kikanovic (57')
Costa (46')
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Earthquakes
3-1
Los Angeles
Rodrigues (5'), Pellegrino (55'), Bouanga (59' og.)
Skahan (10'), Costa (75')
Olivera (69')
Chanot (25'), Palencia (61')
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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