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Major League Soccer
Apr 13, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Palencia (65'), Bouanga (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Espinoza (90+5')
Wilson (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, April 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Earthquakes 6-1 DC United
Sunday, April 6 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

With the Champions Cup no longer a distraction, LAFC are expected to refocus on the league, and they are anticipated to inflict another loss on their opponents, who have suffered defeat in nine of their last 12 away games in MLS since May 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
64.92% (0.292 0.29) 19.44% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 15.64% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 55.01% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (-0.104 -0.1)39.12% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55% (-0.111 -0.11)61.45% (0.113 0.11)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (0.048000000000002 0.05)11.33% (-0.045 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.99% (0.101 0.1)36.01% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (-0.341 -0.34)37.96% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.332 -0.33)74.73% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 64.91%
    San Jose Earthquakes 15.64%
    Draw 19.44%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.19% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.4% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.03% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.91%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.44%
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.64%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2am
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Bouanga (64'), Atuesta (75'), Santos (90+1')
Yueill (9')
Rodrigues (31'), Akapo (53'), Verhoeven (85')
Aug 14, 2024 3.30am
Round of 16
Los Angeles
4-1
Earthquakes
Olivera (17'), Bouanga (45+5' pen., 66'), Bogusz (61')
Lopez (41')
Yarbrough (45+2'), Russell (50')
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
6-2
Earthquakes
Bogusz (15', 48'), Bouanga (26'), Kamara (33'), Hollingshead (42'), Angel (87')
Rodrigues (45+3'), Kikanovic (57')
Costa (46')
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Earthquakes
3-1
Los Angeles
Rodrigues (5'), Pellegrino (55'), Bouanga (59' og.)
Skahan (10'), Costa (75')
Olivera (69')
Chanot (25'), Palencia (61')
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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