Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
54.95% (![]() | 21.35% (![]() | 23.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.37% (![]() | 35.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.31% (![]() | 57.69% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.96% (![]() | 13.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.4% (![]() | 39.6% (![]() |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% (![]() | 27.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% (![]() | 63.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.63% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 9.46% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 6.05% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 23.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 |
10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |