

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 58.54%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 58.54% ( | 19.76% ( | 21.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.66% ( | 30.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.41% ( | 51.59% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.64% ( | 10.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.15% ( | 33.85% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( | 26.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.36% ( | 61.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 1-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-2 @ 4.71% ( 4-1 @ 4.01% ( 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 4-2 @ 2.67% ( 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 58.54% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-0 @ 2.74% ( 3-3 @ 2.09% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.76% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 21.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | DC United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Toronto | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Nashville SCNashville | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Austin FCAustin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Portland TimbersPortland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | St Louis City | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Houston DynamoHouston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
