

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 57.49% ( | 20.75% ( | 21.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.89% ( | 35.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.88% ( | 57.11% ( |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.86% ( | 12.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.28% ( | 37.72% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( | 29.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.9% ( | 65.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 6.82% ( 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 4-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 21.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
| 12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
