Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.