Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 2, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
Montevideo Wanderers

Cerro
1 - 2
Wanderers

Larrosa (14', 14')
Villar (53'), Villar (53'), Ocampo (61'), Ocampo (61'), Mulet (88'), Mulet (88')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Suarez (7', 7'), Zeballos (68', 68')
Figueredo (53'), Figueredo (53'), Silveira (90+4'), Silveira (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Cerro
Sunday, May 25 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 River Plate
Sunday, May 25 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.1%) and 1-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (13.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.

Result
CerroDrawMontevideo Wanderers
33.38% (0.217 0.22)30.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)35.93% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 40.31% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.77% (0.090000000000003 0.09)67.23% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.58% (0.059000000000001 0.06)85.42% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (0.209 0.21)37.39% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (0.204 0.2)74.17% (-0.205 -0.2)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)35.61% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.62% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)72.38% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 33.38%
    Montevideo Wanderers 35.92%
    Draw 30.68%
CerroDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 33.38%
1-1 @ 13.52%
0-0 @ 13.31% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.68%
0-1 @ 13.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 35.92%

How you voted: Cerro vs Wanderers

Cerro
16.7%
Draw
66.7%
Montevideo Wanderers
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2025 11pm
Gameweek 9
Cerro
2-1
Wanderers
Larrosa (45', 50')
Leonel Benitez (69'), Abero (76'), Nahuel Aires Almeida (90+5')
Royon (42')
Royon (16'), Teuten (90+3')
Aug 16, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 1
Wanderers
1-0
Cerro
Morales (24')
Risso (38'), Garcia (90+8')

Abero (73'), Gonzalez (82')
Abero (90+1')
Feb 18, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Wanderers
Ramirez (39')
Gonzalez (90+1')
Freitas (54')
Bontempo (23'), Fonseca (28'), Milan (75'), Garcia (85')
Nov 3, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 8
Cerro
0-1
Wanderers

Souza (45+2'), Abero (55')
Costa (33')
Risso (45+2'), Silveira (52'), Pais (90+6')
Mar 25, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 8
Wanderers
3-0
Cerro
Pais (11'), Albarracin (69'), Santurio (89')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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