Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 20, 2025 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 2
Torque

Abero (90+3' pen.)
Villar (11'), Caceres (45+2'), Silvestre (90+6'), Silvestre (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kagelmacher (14'), Siles (66')
Rodriguez (43'), Lopez (58')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Montevideo City Torque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 3-2 Cerro
Monday, April 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Torque
Saturday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 45.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
CerroDrawMontevideo City Torque
24.75% (-0.81 -0.81)29.46% (-0.411 -0.41)45.79% (1.227 1.23)
Both teams to score 39.78% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.89% (0.768 0.77)66.11% (-0.764 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.34% (0.527 0.53)84.66% (-0.521 -0.52)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.13% (-0.303 -0.3)43.87% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.98% (-0.25 -0.25)80.02% (0.256 0.26)
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (1.05 1.05)29.13% (-1.044 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (1.277 1.28)65.05% (-1.271 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 24.74%
    Montevideo City Torque 45.79%
    Draw 29.45%
CerroDrawMontevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.74%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 12.77% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.45%
0-1 @ 15.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.72% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.169 0.17)
0-3 @ 4% (0.228 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.104 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 45.79%

Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 11
Torque
1-0
Cerro
Alvarez (20')
Pizzichillo (45+2'), Pereira (78'), Catarozzi (89')
Pizzichillo (73')

Perez (28'), Tizon (89'), Ramos (90+4'), Nandin (90+6')
Apr 17, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Cerro
0-2
Torque
Rodriguez (34'), Siri (90+13' pen.)
Jan 31, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
Cerro
1-3
Torque
Klein (45+4')
Tancredi (12')
Gonzalez (26')
Del Prete (15'), Cabrera (45+3' og.), Coccaro (78')
Scotto (24'), (45+4'), Pizzichillo (66')
Arismendi (26')
Nov 23, 2020 12.45am
Gameweek 5
Torque
3-0
Cerro
Brun (11' pen.), Allende (41'), Del Prete (90+4')
Mar 7, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 3
Torque
1-1
Cerro
Del Prete (41')
Scotto (60'), (71'), (81')
Tancredi (20')
Moreira (40'), Tancredi (62'), (76')