Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 20, 2025 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 2
Torque

Abero (90+3' pen.)
Villar (11'), Caceres (45+2'), Silvestre (90+6'), Silvestre (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kagelmacher (14'), Siles (66')
Rodriguez (43'), Lopez (58')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Montevideo City Torque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 3-2 Cerro
Monday, April 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Torque
Saturday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 45.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
CerroDrawMontevideo City Torque
24.75% (-0.81 -0.81)29.46% (-0.411 -0.41)45.79% (1.227 1.23)
Both teams to score 39.78% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.89% (0.768 0.77)66.11% (-0.764 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.34% (0.527 0.53)84.66% (-0.521 -0.52)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.13% (-0.303 -0.3)43.87% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.98% (-0.25 -0.25)80.02% (0.256 0.26)
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (1.05 1.05)29.13% (-1.044 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (1.277 1.28)65.05% (-1.271 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 24.74%
    Montevideo City Torque 45.79%
    Draw 29.45%
CerroDrawMontevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.74%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 12.77% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.45%
0-1 @ 15.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.72% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.169 0.17)
0-3 @ 4% (0.228 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.104 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 45.79%

Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 11
Torque
1-0
Cerro
Alvarez (20')
Pizzichillo (45+2'), Pereira (78'), Catarozzi (89')
Pizzichillo (73')

Perez (28'), Tizon (89'), Ramos (90+4'), Nandin (90+6')
Apr 17, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Cerro
0-2
Torque
Rodriguez (34'), Siri (90+13' pen.)
Jan 31, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
Cerro
1-3
Torque
Klein (45+4')
Tancredi (12')
Gonzalez (26')
Del Prete (15'), Cabrera (45+3' og.), Coccaro (78')
Scotto (24'), (45+4'), Pizzichillo (66')
Arismendi (26')
Nov 23, 2020 12.45am
Gameweek 5
Torque
3-0
Cerro
Brun (11' pen.), Allende (41'), Del Prete (90+4')
Mar 7, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 3
Torque
1-1
Cerro
Del Prete (41')
Scotto (60'), (71'), (81')
Tancredi (20')
Moreira (40'), Tancredi (62'), (76')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010


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