Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11

Apr 14, 2025 at 10pm UK

Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
3 - 2
Cerro

Montoya (39', 39', 69', 69'), Gomez (45+2', 45+2')
Barco (17'), Barco (17'), Pacifico (19'), Pacifico (19'), Montoya (70'), Montoya (70'), Bautista Viacava Caviglia (83'), Bautista Viacava Caviglia (83')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Larrosa (30', 30'), Silvestre (84', 84')
Emanuel Cuello Azambuya (26'), Emanuel Cuello Azambuya (26'), Leonel Benitez (33'), Leonel Benitez (33'), Abero (58'), Abero (58'), Alvarez (77'), Alvarez (77'), Ocampo (88'), Ocampo (88'), Mathias Cubero Rieta (89'), Mathias Cubero Rieta (89'), Alvarez (90+2'), Sebastian Sequeira Almada (90+2'), Sebastian Sequeira Almada (90+2'), Sebastian Sequeira Almada (90+2')
Leonel Benitez (62'), Leonel Benitez (62')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Defensor
Monday, April 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Cerro

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Progreso
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Cerro
52.09% ( 0.48)	27.74% ( -0.21)	20.17% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 39.31% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.74% (

0.37)

64.26% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.63% (

0.26)

83.37% (

-0.26)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88% (

0.39)

25.12% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18% (

0.54)

59.82% (

-0.54)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.5% (

-0.08)

47.5% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.14% (

-0.06)

82.86% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 52.08%

Cerro 20.17%

Draw 27.74%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Cerro
1-0 @ 16.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 52.08%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 20.17%