
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Wanderers1 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Torque
Saturday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
9
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 52.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Penarol |
20.19% (![]() | 27.18% (![]() | 52.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.42% (![]() | 62.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.84% (![]() | 82.16% (![]() |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.52% (![]() | 46.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.91% (![]() | 82.09% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% (![]() | 24.12% (![]() |