MX23RW : Monday, April 28 03:36:55| >> :120:16516:16516:
Penarol
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Villalba (60'), Machado (90+5')
Perez (28'), Fernandez (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carlos Montenegro (23'), Viveros Lopez (51')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Penarol and San Antonio Bulo Bulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, April 5 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3-2 Olimpia
Wednesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for San Antonio Bulo Bulo had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a San Antonio Bulo Bulo win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
59.18% (0.07 0.07) 23.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 17.37% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (-0.067 -0.07)53.11% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (-0.058 -0.06)74.69% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33% (0.00099999999999056 0)17.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.7%48.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
San Antonio Bulo Bulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79% (-0.119 -0.12)44.21% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.7% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)80.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 59.17%
    San Antonio Bulo Bulo 17.37%
    Draw 23.44%
PenarolDrawSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.17%
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 17.37%

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