Galatasaray
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 30, 2025 at 6pm UK
Rams Global Stadium
Istanbul Basaksehir

Galatasaray
2 - 0
Istanbul

Mertens (17' pen.), Osimhen (81')
Osimhen (45+2'), Frankowski (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ba (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Goztepe SK 0-2 Galatasaray
Saturday, May 24 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-3 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, May 25 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Galatasaray in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.

Result
GalatasarayDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
70.93% (1.006 1.01)16.61% (-0.444 -0.44)12.45% (-0.565 -0.57)
Both teams to score 56.66% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.2% (0.73400000000001 0.73)32.8% (-0.736 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.5% (0.842 0.84)54.49% (-0.844 -0.84)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.8% (0.40300000000001 0.4)8.2% (-0.405 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.29% (0.996 1)28.7% (-1 -1)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (-0.347 -0.35)38.27% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (-0.335 -0.34)75.03% (0.333 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 70.93%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 12.45%
    Draw 16.61%
GalatasarayDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 8.18% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.86% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.56% (0.144 0.14)
5-1 @ 2.46% (0.116 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.046 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.045 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.07% (0.079 0.08)
6-1 @ 1.03% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 70.93%
1-1 @ 7.54% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.61%
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-1 @ 3.01% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.45% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 12.45%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Istanbul

Galatasaray
83.0%
Draw
5.7%
Istanbul Basaksehir
11.3%
53
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2025 4pm
Gameweek 19
Istanbul
1-2
Galatasaray
Piatek (53')
Opoku (13'), Gureler (37'), Paulin Keny (45'), Piatek (74')
Yilmaz (42', 59')
Buruk (14'), Akgun (16'), Ayhan (21'), Torreira (31'), Sallai (79')
Feb 10, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 25
Galatasaray
2-0
Istanbul
Yilmaz (25'), Mertens (31')
Mertens (1'), Yilmaz (83')

Souza (36'), Lima (90+2')
Sep 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Istanbul
1-2
Galatasaray
Dubois (64')
Dennis (12'), Ozcan (19'), Lima (31')
Ziyech (43'), Icardi (50' pen.)
Oliveira (33'), Demirbay (82')
May 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 33
Galatasaray
1-0
Istanbul
Icardi (45+8' pen.)
Nov 12, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 14
Istanbul
0-7
Galatasaray
Akturkoglu (14', 59', 85'), Icardi (45' pen.), Ndayishimiye (45+4' og.), Mertens (65'), Bardakci (88')
rhs 2.0


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