Galatasaray
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 34
May 3, 2025 at 5pm UK
Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
4 - 1
Sivasspor

Torreira (9'), Osimhen (15', 31'), Yilmaz (21')
Mertens (76')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Manaj (33')
Manaj (74'), Koita (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eyupspor 1-5 Galatasaray
Sunday, April 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Saturday, April 26 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 81.82%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 6.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawSivasspor
81.82% (1.204 1.2)11.84% (-0.572 -0.57)6.34% (-0.635 -0.64)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-1.42 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.37% (0.184 0.18)29.63% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.26% (0.22300000000001 0.22)50.74% (-0.226 -0.23)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.59% (0.245 0.25)5.41% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.81% (0.717 0.72)21.19% (-0.72 -0.72)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.3% (-1.64 -1.64)48.69% (1.638 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-1.207 -1.21)83.74% (1.204 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 81.81%
    Sivasspor 6.34%
    Draw 11.84%
GalatasarayDrawSivasspor
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.22 0.22)
3-0 @ 10.89% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-0 @ 7.95% (0.398 0.4)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.72% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.64% (0.3 0.3)
5-1 @ 3.34% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
6-0 @ 2.25% (0.178 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.087 -0.09)
6-1 @ 1.62% (0.057 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
7-0 @ 0.94% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 81.81%
1-1 @ 5.53% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-2 @ 2.9% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-0 @ 2.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 11.84%
1-2 @ 1.99% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-1 @ 1.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 6.34%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Sivasspor

Galatasaray
75.0%
Draw
10.0%
Sivasspor
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 15
Sivasspor
2-3
Galatasaray
Rodrigues (25'), Turac Boke (90+1')
Sonko-Sundberg (1'), Koita (31'), Nikolic (45+8'), Balde (77'), Manaj (90+6')
Akgun (36'), Osimhen (45+9' pen.), Yilmaz (53')
Mertens (60'), Sallai (77'), Demirbay (90+7'), Batshuayi (90+3'), Muslera (90+10')
Baltaci (16')
May 5, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 35
Galatasaray
6-1
Sivasspor
Ziyech (11', 60'), Mertens (38', 73'), Icardi (59', 85')
Osmanpasa (54')
Ciftci (28'), Camara (90'), Manaj (90+2')
Jan 11, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Sivasspor
1-1
Galatasaray
Koita (86' pen.)
Demirbay (45+1')
Demirbay (27'), Akturkoglu (86')
Akturkoglu (90+6')
May 20, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Galatasaray
2-0
Sivasspor
Icardi (13', 63')
Mertens (55')

Yalcin (45+1')
Dec 29, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Sivasspor
1-2
Galatasaray
Yesilyurt (80')
Mertens (27'), Yilmaz (90+5')