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Hatayspor2 - 4Istanbul
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, April 25 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, April 28 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
30.13% ( 1.07) | 23.99% ( 0.15) | 45.88% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% ( -0.07) | 42.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% ( -0.07) | 65.26% ( 0.07) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( 0.68) | 27.02% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.62% ( 0.89) | 62.37% ( -0.88) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( -0.53) | 18.88% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.65% ( -0.88) | 50.35% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.13% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.35% Total : 45.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 36 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 91 | 31 | 60 | 95 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 36 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 90 | 39 | 51 | 84 |
| 3 | Samsunspor | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 64 |
| 4 | BesiktasBesiktas | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 62 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 60 | 56 | 4 | 54 |
| 6 | EyupsporEyupspor | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 7 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 51 |
| 8 | Goztepe SKGoztepe SK | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 50 |
| 9 | Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 36 | 15 | 4 | 17 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 49 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 47 |
| 11 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | GaziantepGaziantep | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 45 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | KayserisporKayserispor | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 45 |
| 15 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 44 |
| 16 | Bodrumspor | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 37 |
| R | SivassporSivasspor | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 35 |
| R | Hatayspor | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 26 |
| R | Adana Demirspor | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 34 | 92 | -58 | 2 |
| > Turkish Super Lig Full Table | |||||||||
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