Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 34
May 3, 2025 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu
Istanbul Basaksehir

Hatayspor
2 - 4
Istanbul

Strandberg (4'), Boutobba (56')
Bamgboye (25'), Massanga (77'), Kilama (89'), Yilmaz (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Piatek (9'), Sari (30'), Brnic (82'), Figueiredo (90+1' pen.)
Operi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Besiktas 5-1 Hatayspor
Friday, April 25 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Last Game: Goztepe SK 4-1 Istanbul
Monday, April 28 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
30.13% (1.07 1.07)23.99% (0.149 0.15)45.88% (-1.22 -1.22)
Both teams to score 59.2% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)42.86% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74% (-0.07 -0.07)65.26% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.684 0.68)27.02% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (0.886 0.89)62.37% (-0.885 -0.88)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)18.88% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (-0.879 -0.88)50.35% (0.879 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 30.13%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 45.88%
    Draw 23.98%
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.179 0.18)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.148 0.15)
2-0 @ 4.37% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.13%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.09% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 45.88%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 15
Istanbul
3-0
Hatayspor
Crespo (56'), Piatek (83'), Paulin Keny (90+4')
Opoku (44')

Parmak (85'), Kilama (90+1'), Fernandes (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Hatayspor
1-2
Istanbul
Dadasov (73')
Rivas (61')
Piatek (5'), Kemen (69')
Atan (0'), Ilkhan (23'), Souza (25'), Duarte (63')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Istanbul
1-0
Hatayspor
Abeid (11')
Opoku (20'), Atan (21'), Babacan (81'), (90+7')
Opoku (90+6')

Strandberg (64'), Rivas (86'), Kardesler (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 32
Istanbul
3-0
Hatayspor
Nov 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Hatayspor
3-3
Istanbul
Yildirim (12'), El Kaabi (75'), Luis (81')
Traore (60'), Aleksic (65'), Gurler (90+1')
> Preview