We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Konyaspor
Hatayspor have endured a difficult campaign overall, but their recent home form offers a glimmer of encouragement, with just two defeats in their last five matches at the Mersin Stadium.
While Konyaspor's away record has been far from convincing, we expect them to do enough to avoid defeat here, though we are not confident enough to back them for all three points, which is why a share of the spoils appears the most likely outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Konyaspor win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Konyaspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Konyaspor would win this match.