Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jun 1, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Penarol

Cerro Largo
1 - 1
Penarol

Bonifazi (29')
Bertochi (40'), Anasco (45+2'), (69'), Assis (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garcia (26')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-2 Cerro Largo
Thursday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
21.87% (-0.593 -0.59)27.89% (-0.201 -0.2)50.24% (0.791 0.79)
Both teams to score 40.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.67% (0.16699999999999 0.17)63.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.29% (0.119 0.12)82.71% (-0.122 -0.12)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.9% (-0.517 -0.52)45.1% (0.51199999999999 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.99% (-0.414 -0.41)81.01% (0.41 0.41)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (0.455 0.45)25.56% (-0.458 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (0.618 0.62)60.43% (-0.621 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 21.87%
    Penarol 50.23%
    Draw 27.88%
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 3.66% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 0.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.87%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 11.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 15.72% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 10.72% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.88% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 50.23%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2025 12.30am
Gameweek 9
Penarol
0-2
Cerro Largo

Perez (20')
Baez (57')
Bertochi (28'), Otormin (76')
Bertochi (51'), Otormin (70')
Aug 17, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 1
Penarol
0-0
Cerro Largo
Olase Curutchet (73')
Prado (29'), Contrera (45+2'), Mir (84'), Assis (86'), Cabrera (87'), Cabral (90+3'), Cabral (90+3')
Mir (90+6')
Feb 18, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro Largo
1-2
Penarol
Nunez (44')
Coronel (25'), Brasil (32'), Correa (67')
Sequeira (59'), Fernandez (68')
Olivera (32'), Coelho (50'), Sosa (79'), Fernandez (82')
Nov 15, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Penarol
1-1
Cerro Largo
Gonzalez (86')
Rodriguez (9'), Herrera (46')
Nunez (4')
Galletto (35'), Viera (39'), Mir (58'), Brasil (69'), Fernandez (90+3'), Lima (90+7')
Apr 9, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro Largo
0-0
Penarol