Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 7, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
Penarol

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 - 3
Penarol


Blanco (55'), Blanco (55'), Carlos Montenegro (85'), Carlos Montenegro (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silvera (75', 75', 90+5', 90+5'), Hernandez (90+2', 90+2')
Coelho (49'), Coelho (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between San Antonio Bulo Bulo and Penarol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Defensor 0-1 Penarol
Saturday, May 3 at 1.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for San Antonio Bulo Bulo had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a San Antonio Bulo Bulo win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
San Antonio Bulo BuloDrawPenarol
21.97% (0.036999999999999 0.04)23.35% (0.013999999999999 0.01)54.69% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)46.79% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)69.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
San Antonio Bulo Bulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (0.021000000000001 0.02)35.55% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.019000000000002 0.02)72.32% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)16.99% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)47.11% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21.97%
    Penarol 54.68%
    Draw 23.35%
San Antonio Bulo BuloDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 21.97%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 10.7%
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 9.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.68%

How you voted: San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Penarol

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Penarol
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2025 1am
Group Stage
Penarol
2-0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Villalba (60'), Machado (90+5')
Perez (28'), Fernandez (79')

Carlos Montenegro (23'), Viveros Lopez (51')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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