Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol

Defensor
0 - 1
Penarol


Bautista Viacava Caviglia (34'), Bautista Viacava Caviglia (34'), Alvarez (82'), Alvarez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandez (77', 77')
Fernandez (24'), Fernandez (24')
Coelho (9'), Coelho (9')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Torque 0-1 Defensor
Sunday, April 27 at 2.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Olimpia 0-0 Penarol
Wednesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawPenarol
35.31% (0.059999999999995 0.06)28.06% (-0.324 -0.32)36.63% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.957 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.51% (1.175 1.18)58.49% (-1.175 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (0.909 0.91)79.08% (-0.90700000000001 -0.91)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (0.63900000000001 0.64)31.42% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (0.73 0.73)67.8% (-0.729 -0.73)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (0.75700000000001 0.76)30.59% (-0.755 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.888 0.89)66.83% (-0.886 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 35.3%
    Penarol 36.62%
    Draw 28.06%
Defensor SportingDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 9.61% (-0.437 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.38% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.62%

Head to Head
Nov 17, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 13
Penarol
2-0
Defensor
Fernandez (45+5'), Medina (90+3')
Sequeira (36')

Alvarez (34'), De Los Santos (36'), Cadenazzi (45+1'), Biscayzacu Vazquez (51'), Garcia (90+2')
De Los Santos (36')
Jul 27, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
1-0
Defensor
Babi (90+1')
Ramirez (36'), Fernandez (45+1')

Duarte (86'), De Los Santos (90+3'), Dufour (90+3'), Bernal (90+7')
May 18, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 13
Defensor
0-2
Penarol

De Los Santos (28'), Cabrera (71'), Bernal (89')
Silvera (23'), Acosta (90+6')
Gonzalez (45+1'), Olivera (61')
Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
2-1
Defensor
Gonzalez (45+1'), Rodriguez (68' pen.)
Gonzalez (22')
Navarro (29' pen.)
Pintado (78')
Jul 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
2-1
Defensor
Arezo (69'), Hernandez (88')
Rak (48'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Balboa (53')
Freitas (11')