Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Nov 17, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Defensor

Penarol
2 - 0
Defensor

Fernandez (45+5'), Medina (90+3')
Sequeira (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvarez (34'), De Los Santos (36'), Cadenazzi (45+1'), Biscayzacu Vazquez (51'), Garcia (90+2')
De Los Santos (36')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Penarol
Thursday, November 14 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Defensor 3-0 Progreso
Thursday, November 14 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDefensor Sporting
45.85% (1.652 1.65)28.83% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)25.32% (-1.632 -1.63)
Both teams to score 41.66% (-1.041 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.02% (-0.736 -0.74)63.98% (0.735 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.83% (-0.527 -0.53)83.17% (0.527 0.53)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.51899999999999 0.52)28.05% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.653 0.65)63.7% (-0.655 -0.66)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.9% (-1.877 -1.88)42.1% (1.877 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.48% (-1.668 -1.67)78.52% (1.667 1.67)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 45.84%
    Defensor Sporting 25.31%
    Draw 28.82%
PenarolDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 15% (0.61 0.61)
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.523 0.52)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.276 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 11.8% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 28.82%
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.353 -0.35)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.347 -0.35)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 25.31%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
1-0
Defensor
Babi (90+1')
Ramirez (36'), Fernandez (45+1')

Duarte (86'), De Los Santos (90+3'), Dufour (90+3'), Bernal (90+7')
May 18, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 13
Defensor
0-2
Penarol

De Los Santos (28'), Cabrera (71'), Bernal (89')
Silvera (23'), Acosta (90+6')
Gonzalez (45+1'), Olivera (61')
Oct 7, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
2-1
Defensor
Gonzalez (45+1'), Rodriguez (68' pen.)
Gonzalez (22')
Navarro (29' pen.)
Pintado (78')
Jul 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
2-1
Defensor
Arezo (69'), Hernandez (88')
Rak (48'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Balboa (53')
Freitas (11')
Feb 25, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 4
Defensor
2-2
Penarol
Balboa (11'), Navarro (90+9' pen.)
Arezo (41'), Rossi (74' og.)