Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Penarol
2 - 0
Liverpool

Fernandez (40'), Darias (88')
Suarez (37'), Garcia (63'), Hernandez (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Machado (37'), Amaro (38'), Rodriguez (51'), Tabo (65'), Wasilewsky (73')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Penarol
Sunday, November 3 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Liverpool

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Progreso
Sunday, November 3 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawLiverpool
58.21% (-1.144 -1.14)25.57% (0.565 0.57)16.22% (0.578 0.58)
Both teams to score 38.52% (-0.273 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.1% (-1 -1)61.9% (1 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.33% (-0.745 -0.75)81.66% (0.744 0.74)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.866 -0.87)21.44% (0.865 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (-1.349 -1.35)54.46% (1.349 1.35)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.03% (0.191 0.19)50.97% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.68% (0.129 0.13)85.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 58.19%
    Liverpool 16.22%
    Draw 25.57%
PenarolDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 16.82% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.95% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.283 -0.28)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 10.92% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 16.22%

Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 11
Liverpool
2-2
Penarol
Amaro (10'), Rosso (16')
Martinez (27'), Alfaro (42'), Garcia (67'), Ocampo (67'), Rodriguez (75'), Milans (90+3')
Amaro (90+1')
Sequeira (8'), Silvera (90')
Rodriguez (20'), Garcia (31'), Coelho (60'), Milans (90+5')
Amaro (94+1')
Dec 16, 2023 10pm
Penarol
0-1
Liverpool

Hernandez (51'), Arezo (54'), Mayada (90+2'), Hernandez (90+5')
Bentancourt (25')
Bentancourt (43'), Samudio (52'), Barrios (66')
Dec 13, 2023 8pm
Liverpool
2-0
Penarol
Vecino (70'), Bentancourt (81')
Meli (25'), Antoni (31'), Bentancourt (90+1'), Andueza (90+3')
Napoli (66')

Olivera (11'), Rodriguez (21')
Gonzalez (64')
Dec 9, 2023 10.30pm
Liverpool
0-1
Penarol

Izquierdo (33'), Bentancourt (90+2')
Rivero (90')
Hernandez (120')
Rodriguez (33'), Olivera (75'), Hernandez (83'), Menosse (107')
Nov 5, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 8
Penarol
0-1
Liverpool

Cristoforo (12'), Menosse (31'), Arezo (63'), Coelho (85')
Vecino (26')
Medina (25'), Vecino (27'), Siles (62'), Andueza (86'), Meli (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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