Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol

River Plate
0 - 1
Penarol


Alfonso (7'), Fernandez (28'), Almeida (45+1'), Olivera (62'), Galletto (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silvera (68')
Fernandez (28'), Olivera (32'), Milans (55')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 2-0 River Plate
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, October 31 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawPenarol
21.22% (0.989 0.99)23.59% (0.537 0.54)55.19% (-1.527 -1.53)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-1.017 -1.02)48.64% (1.013 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-0.93 -0.93)70.75% (0.928 0.93)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.427 0.43)37.32% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (0.418 0.42)74.1% (-0.42 -0.42)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (-0.911 -0.91)17.48% (0.909 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (-1.611 -1.61)47.97% (1.609 1.61)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 21.22%
    Penarol 55.18%
    Draw 23.58%
River PlateDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.336 0.34)
2-1 @ 5.53% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 21.22%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 9.92% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 5.77% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.18%

Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
1-3
Penarol
Galletto (14')
Salaberry (21'), Alfonso (83'), Quintana (83')
Corbo (45+3')
Silvera (11'), Rodriguez (61'), Darias (88')
Fernandez (16'), Mendez (24'), Darias (76')
Apr 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Penarol
3-0
River Plate
Ramirez (9'), Galletto (24' og.), Fernandez (72' pen.)
Castillo (14'), Garcia (79'), Mendez (86')

Barboza (45'), Vera (54')
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
0-3
Penarol

Chopitea (61'), Gargano (63'), Cabrera (73')
Gonzalez (29'), Mayada (34'), Arezo (59')
Milans (56')
Jun 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Penarol
1-3
River Plate
Hernandez (21')
Rodriguez (41'), Betancor (72'), Coelho (83')
Rodriguez (90+7')
Brunelli (42'), Barone (62', 68')
Brunelli (2'), Garcia (89')
Mar 18, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
1-0
River Plate
Rodriguez (48')