Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4 | 2nd Leg
Jun 13, 2025 at 11pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Penarol

River Plate
vs.
Penarol

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Defensor
Sunday, June 1 at 3pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Cerro vs. River Plate
Friday, June 6 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-1 Penarol
Sunday, June 1 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Penarol vs. Defensor
Sunday, June 8 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for River Plate has a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.85%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.46%), while for a River Plate win it is 1-0 (6.11%).

Result
River PlateDrawPenarol
13.65% (-0.847 -0.85)23.19% (-0.533 -0.53)63.16% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 39.06% (-0.54 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99% (0.406 0.41)58.01% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.3% (0.318 0.32)78.7% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.65% (-1.047 -1.05)52.35% (1.05 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.77% (-0.691 -0.69)86.23% (0.694 0.69)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (0.65599999999999 0.66)18.03% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (1.109 1.11)48.91% (-1.105 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 13.65%
    Penarol 63.15%
    Draw 23.18%
River PlateDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-1 @ 3.39% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-0 @ 1.98% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 13.65%
1-1 @ 10.46% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 9.44% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 2.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 16.16% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 13.85% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 7.91% (0.368 0.37)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.086 0.09)
0-4 @ 3.39% (0.225 0.23)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 63.15%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2025 12.30am
Gameweek 4
River Plate
1-1
Penarol
Barone (85')
Vera (42'), Barone (90+3'), Cachi (90')
Darias (30')
Perez (41'), Coelho (71'), Milans (90+2')
Remedi (90+6'), Remedi (90+5')
Nov 3, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
River Plate
0-1
Penarol

Alfonso (7'), Fernandez (28'), Almeida (45+1'), Olivera (62'), Galletto (80')
Silvera (68')
Fernandez (28'), Olivera (32'), Milans (55')
Jul 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
1-3
Penarol
Galletto (14')
Salaberry (21'), Alfonso (83'), Quintana (83')
Corbo (45+3')
Silvera (11'), Rodriguez (61'), Darias (88')
Fernandez (16'), Mendez (24'), Darias (76')
Apr 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Penarol
3-0
River Plate
Ramirez (9'), Galletto (24' og.), Fernandez (72' pen.)
Castillo (14'), Garcia (79'), Mendez (86')

Barboza (45'), Vera (54')
Oct 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
River Plate
0-3
Penarol

Chopitea (61'), Gargano (63'), Cabrera (73')
Gonzalez (29'), Mayada (34'), Arezo (59')
Milans (56')