Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 18, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 1
Torque

Fernandez (4' pen., 4' pen., 71', 71')
Cabrera (41'), Cabrera (41'), Fernandez (87'), Fernandez (87')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Villa (19', 19')
Villa (52'), Villa (52'), Costa (87'), Costa (87')
Andrade (45'), Andrade (45')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo City Torque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 3-2 Olimpia
Wednesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Last Game: Torque 2-3 Progreso
Sunday, May 4 at 2.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawMontevideo City Torque
50.7% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)25.73% (0.131 0.13)23.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27% (-0.498 -0.5)54.73% (0.498 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (-0.415 -0.41)76.05% (0.414 0.41)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (-0.253 -0.25)21.62% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (-0.389 -0.39)54.73% (0.389 0.39)
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.52% (-0.291 -0.29)38.48% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.77% (-0.279 -0.28)75.23% (0.279 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 50.7%
    Montevideo City Torque 23.56%
    Draw 25.72%
PenarolDrawMontevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.7%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.56%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 6
Torque
2-3
Penarol
Costa (13'), Siri (22')
Salomon (63'), Villa (63'), Catarozzi (63'), Pizzichillo (67'), Pereyra (90+1')
Salomon (90+6')
Arezo (43'), Rodriguez (44', 65')
Arezo (37'), Olivera (38'), Rodriguez (75'), Sanchez (90+5')
Jul 3, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
2-0
Torque
Hernandez (58', 78')
Coelho (32'), Menosse (39'), Cristoforo (62'), Rak (81'), Garcia (85')

Catarozzi (44'), Salomon (90+4'), Palacios (90+5')
Mar 12, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 6
Penarol
2-2
Torque
Arezo (13'), Rossi (70')
Palacios (52'), Ribas (84')
Sep 24, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 10
Penarol
0-1
Torque
Palavecino (89')
Jun 12, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 1
Penarol
1-2
Torque
Ramos (90+3' pen.)
Menosse (90+6')
Pereira (45+1'), Nicola Albanell (69')
Catarozzi (41'), Cartagena (50'), Milano Larrosa (63')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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