Penarol
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
3 - 2
Olimpia

Fernandez (50'), Olivera (55'), Remedi (73')
Mendez (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lopez (13'), Leguizamon (37')
Zavala (44'), Carlos Abreu Benegas (66'), Fernandez (79')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Penarol and Olimpia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0-3 Penarol
Wednesday, May 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Olimpia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawOlimpia
48.01% (0.072000000000003 0.07)27.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)24.88% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.66% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.3% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)58.7% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.76% (-0.038 -0.04)79.24% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (0.013000000000005 0.01)24.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99% (0.016000000000005 0.02)59.01% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)39.49% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (-0.087 -0.09)76.18% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 48%
    Olimpia 24.88%
    Draw 27.11%
PenarolDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 13.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 24.88%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Olimpia
0-0
Penarol
Guerrero (11', 57'), Barcos (90+5')
Ortiz (22'), Gonzalez (90+4')
Girotti (62' pen., 69')
Olivera (19'), Perez (76')
May 5, 2022 1am
Group Stage
Olimpia
1-0
Penarol
Salcedo (33')
Zarate (5'), Gomez (36'), Cardozo (88')

Musto (21'), Elizalde (53')
Apr 13, 2022 1.30am
Group Stage
Penarol
2-1
Olimpia