Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield2 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Velez Sarsfield and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Deportivo Riestra
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
3
Last Game: Penarol 0-2 Cerro Largo
Monday, March 31 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, March 31 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
8
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Penarol |
47.38% ( 0.03) | 27.81% ( -0.01) | 24.8% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
