MX23RW : Sunday, June 1 21:30:23| >> :60:41:41:
Austin FC
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 29, 2025 at 2.20am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Austin
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Rubio (90+3')
Sanchez (67'), Sabovic (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Agade (67')
Gozo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's MLS Playoffs clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Austin
Sunday, May 25 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-3 Vancouver
Sunday, May 25 at 2.30am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Real Salt Lake

While both are without a league win in recent outings, the hosts are undefeated in their last four games and will be boosted by US Open Cup victories, and alongside boasting the home advantage, we expect Austin to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
47.28% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3) 23.61% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 29.11% (0.251 0.25)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)41.7% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (-0.07 -0.07)64.11% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)17.86% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.37% (-0.247 -0.25)48.62% (0.245 0.25)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (0.137 0.14)27.12% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (0.178 0.18)62.5% (-0.18 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 47.28%
    Real Salt Lake 29.11%
    Draw 23.61%
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 47.28%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.11%

How you voted: Austin vs Salt Lake

Austin FC
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Real Salt Lake
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
Austin
2-2
Salt Lake
Obrian (81'), Biro (89')
Crooks (48'), Goncalves (65' pen.)
Mastroeni (0'), Glad (59'), Chang (90+6')
Jun 2, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
5-1
Austin
Arango (16', 45+5', 71' pen.), Julio (24', 31')
Palacio (82'), Vera (84')
Ring (90+2' pen.)
Pereira (45+1'), Ring (54'), Biro (82')
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Salt Lake
Cascante (90+2')
Rigoni (43'), Urruti (62'), Gallagher (64')
Rubin (15', 81')
Davis (7'), Glad (34'), Loffelsend (66')
Mar 12, 2023 2.30am
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
First Round
Austin
2-2
Salt Lake
(Aggregate 2-2 | Austin win 3-1 on penalties)
Driussi (31', 90+4' pen.)
Cordova (3', 15')
rhs 2.0
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