Major League Soccer

May 11, 2025 at 12.30am UK

TQL Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 1
Austin

Evander (12', 12'), Valenzuela (76', 76')
Denkey (35'), Denkey (35')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vazquez (48' pen., 48' pen.)
Sabovic (69'), Sabovic (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between FC Cincinnati and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 0-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Austin FC
60.37% ( 0.03)	21.86% ( -0.01)	17.77% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.44% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88% (

0.02)

46.12% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58% (

0.02)

68.42% (

-0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

0.02)

14.83% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.86% (

0.04)

43.14% (

-0.04)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4% (

-0.01)

39.59% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72% (

-0.01)

76.28% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 60.36%

Austin FC 17.77%

Draw 21.85%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.36%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.85%	0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.77%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Austin

FC Cincinnati

77.8%

Draw

22.2%

Austin FC

0.0%

Head to Head

Feb 26, 2022 11pm

Gameweek 1

Austin

5-0

Cincinnati

Dominguez (2', 61'), Ring (14'), Driussi (43'), Kann (90+3' og.)
Keller (33'), Valencia (74')

Cruz (12'), Kubo (76')

> Preview

Form Guide

NY City 1-0 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 2-1 Kansas

Chicago Fire 2-3 Cincinnati

DC United 0-1 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 1-0 New England

Nashville 1-2 Cincinnati

Austin 0-3 Minnesota Utd

St Louis City 0-1 Austin

Nations League

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Saudi Arabia

Jordan

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

Angola

Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	14	8	3	3	24	12	12	27
2	Columbus Crew	14	7	5	2	22	18	4	26
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	15	8	2	5	21	21	0	26
4	Inter Miami Inter Miami	13	7	3	3	26	19	7	24
5	New York City FC NY City	15	7	3	5	20	17	3	24
6	Nashville SC Nashville	14	6	4	4	24	17	7	22
7	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	14	7	1	6	22	18	4	22
8	Chicago Fire	15	6	4	5	28	28	0	22
9	Orlando City	14	5	6	3	25	18	7	21
10	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	14	6	3	5	21	15	6	21
11	New England Revolution New England	13	6	3	4	15	10	5	21
12	DC United	14	4	4	6	15	26	-11	16
13	Toronto	14	3	4	7	16	19	-3	13
14	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	3	4	8	17	27	-10	13
15	CF Montreal Montreal	14	1	3	10	7	25	-18	6

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	13	8	4	1	24	10	14	28
2	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	14	8	4	2	25	13	12	28
3	Portland Timbers Portland	13	6	4	3	23	20	3	22
4	Seattle Sounders Seattle	14	5	5	4	23	18	5	20
5	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	13	5	4	4	21	20	1	19
6	Colorado Rapids Colorado	13	5	4	4	16	18	-2	19
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	14	5	2	7	27	22	5	17
8	Dallas	14	4	5	5	15	22	-7	17
9	Austin FC Austin	14	5	2	7	8	17	-9	17
10	St Louis City	14	3	4	7	11	18	-7	13
11	Houston Dynamo Houston	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
12	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	14	4	1	9	13	21	-8	13
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	13	3	2	8	19	23	-4	11
14	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	13	1	4	8	12	29	-17	7
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0