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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
FC Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
2 - 3
Cincinnati

Cuypers (31'), Gutierrez (85' pen.)
Acosta (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Evander (9', 71'), Denkey (42')
Denkey (42'), Orellano (90+6'), Celentano (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 FC Cincinnati

Chicago Fire have been the better of the two teams in attack, but Cincinnati have had the upper hand from a defensive perspective. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
39.2% (-0.165 -0.16) 24.86% (0.129 0.13) 35.94% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.46 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (-0.597 -0.6)45.08% (0.596 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (-0.575 -0.58)67.43% (0.57300000000001 0.57)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.34899999999999 -0.35)22.86% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.516 -0.52)56.59% (0.514 0.51)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.256 -0.26)24.58% (0.255 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.359 -0.36)59.07% (0.358 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 39.2%
    FC Cincinnati 35.94%
    Draw 24.85%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 35.94%

Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-1
Chicago Fire

Noonan (72'), Powell (88')
Powell (88'), Noonan (90+6')
Gutierrez (70')
Herbers (35'), Cuypers (58'), Yedlin (89'), Koutsias (90+3')
Mar 3, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Cincinnati
Shaqiri (45' pen.)
Acosta (55'), Pineda (66'), Gutierrez (90+4')
Boupendza (39'), Robinson (68')
Nwobodo (43'), Bucha (81'), Baird (84')
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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