Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
56.44% (![]() | 23.18% (![]() | 20.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.04% (![]() | 47.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.87% (![]() | 70.14% (![]() |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% (![]() | 16.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.25% (![]() | 46.75% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.22% (![]() | 37.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.44% (![]() | 74.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 11.32% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.09% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.43% | 1-1 @ 11.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.18% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 19 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
3 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
6 | Orlando City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
9 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
13 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
14 | Toronto | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 20 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 |
3 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 16 |
4 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
6 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
7 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
8 | Dallas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 10 |
10 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 3 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |