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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
May 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Toyota Park
St Louis City
Chicago Fire
1 - 0
St Louis City
Czichos (40')
Gimenez (59'), Herbers (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (26'), Nelson (43'), Gioacchini (49')
Nelson (70')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 St Louis City

 The Fire have been much sharper and dynamic on home soil, while St Louis look like a different team when Klauss is out of the lineup, and we expect the expansion side to struggle when it comes to generating chances this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawSt Louis City
64.76% (-3.146 -3.15) 19.7% (0.525 0.53) 15.54% (2.622 2.62)
Both teams to score 53.83% (5.253 5.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (3.39 3.39)40.54% (-3.388 -3.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (3.393 3.39)62.92% (-3.393 -3.39)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.21% (0.133 0.13)11.79% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.01% (0.28100000000001 0.28)36.99% (-0.281 -0.28)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.03% (5.872 5.87)38.97% (-5.871 -5.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (5.114 5.11)75.7% (-5.114 -5.11)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 64.76%
    St Louis City 15.54%
    Draw 19.7%
Chicago FireDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.5% (-1.59 -1.59)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.198 0.2)
1-0 @ 9.82% (-1.547 -1.55)
3-0 @ 7.48% (-1.088 -1.09)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.177 0.18)
4-0 @ 4% (-0.558 -0.56)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.566 0.57)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.31 0.31)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.229 -0.23)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 64.76%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.774 0.77)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.752 -0.75)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.307 0.31)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.7%
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.705 0.71)
0-1 @ 4.33% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.321 0.32)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.425 0.43)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.393 0.39)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 15.54%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs St Louis City

Chicago Fire
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
St Louis City
22.2%
9
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati1410312214833
2Nashville SCNashville1584322101228
3New England RevolutionNew England147432217525
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia147342315824
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta156542925423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156362025-521
7Orlando City145541717020
8DC United155462018219
9Columbus Crew145362620618
10CF MontrealMontreal146081322-918
11Chicago Fire143742124-316
12New York City FCNY City144461619-316
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls153751013-316
14Toronto153751519-416
15Inter MiamiInter Miami145091418-415

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1482429141526
2Seattle SoundersSeattle158252113826
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
4Dallas156631714324
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145451819-119
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd145451315-219
7Houston DynamoHouston135351312118
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver144551917217
9Portland TimbersPortland154471924-516
10Austin FCAustin144461420-616
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144461423-916
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas153481322-913
13Colorado RapidsColorado152671222-1012
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy142391024-149
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