MLS Rivalry Week is upon us, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
Result | ||
Seattle Sounders | Draw | St Louis City |
64.88% (![]() | 19.56% (![]() | 15.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.16% (![]() | 39.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.8% (![]() | 62.2% (![]() |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.45% (![]() | 11.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.52% (![]() | 36.49% (![]() |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% (![]() | 38.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% (![]() | 75.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Seattle Sounders | Draw | St Louis City |
2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 3.98% Total : 64.88% | 1-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.56% | 1-2 @ 4.37% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |