Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.