Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto
3 - 0
Guimaraes
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 2-4 Porto
Saturday, May 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Porto 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Given the form of both sides ahead of Saturday's encounter, we are anticipating an entertaining contest with lots of goalmouth action. That said, we are backing Porto to carry the day come the end of the 90 minutes, although it remains to be seen if that would be enough for them to be crowned champions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
69.21% ( 0.06) | 18.03% ( -0.03) | 12.76% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
