

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 
| 39.61% ( | 28.22% ( | 32.16% ( | 
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.55% ( | 59.45% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.18% ( | 79.82% ( | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.72% ( | 29.28% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.76% ( | 65.24% ( | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.95% ( | 34.05% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.27% ( | 70.73% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.61%  | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.37% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.22%  | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.16%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 | 
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 | 
| 3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 | 
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 | 
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 | 
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 | 
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 | 
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 | 
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 | 
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