

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.87%) and 0-3 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica | 
| 8.4% ( | 16.63% ( | 74.97% ( | 
| Both teams to score 40.72% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.56% ( | 45.44% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.23% ( | 67.77% ( | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 45.48% ( | 54.52% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.41% ( | 87.59% ( | 
| Benfica Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 89.54% ( | 10.46% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.92% ( | 34.08% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica | 
| 1-0 @ 3.46% ( 2-1 @ 2.37% ( 2-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 8.4%  | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 2-2 @ 2.67% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 16.63%  | 0-2 @ 14.53% ( 0-1 @ 12.87% ( 0-3 @ 10.93% ( 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 1-3 @ 6.63% ( 0-4 @ 6.17% ( 1-4 @ 3.74% ( 0-5 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-5 @ 1.69% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-6 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 74.95%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 | 
| 2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 | 
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 | 
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 | 
| 9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 | 
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 | 
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 | 
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