Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match.