Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Auxerre |
63.97% (![]() | 20.2% (![]() | 15.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.76% (![]() | 42.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.35% (![]() | 64.64% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% (![]() | 12.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.47% (![]() | 38.53% (![]() |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% (![]() | 39.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% (![]() | 76.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Auxerre |
2-0 @ 10.71% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.3% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 3.41% Total : 63.96% | 1-1 @ 9.54% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.2% | 0-1 @ 4.59% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 15.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |