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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Marseille
Lorient
0 - 0
Marseille
FT

Malinovskyi (84'), Balerdi (87')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Marseille

 Marseille's superb record on the road cannot be ignored, and they should not lack any inspiration as the Ligue 1 title could still be up for grabs. As Lorient also lack their old attacking verve, OM should out-score their hosts and pick up three valuable points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
18.09% (-0.397 -0.4) 22.66% (-0.273 -0.27) 59.26% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.53% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.534 0.53)48.99% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.482 0.48)71.07% (-0.482 -0.48)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (-0.143 -0.14)40.91% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.131 -0.13)77.48% (0.13 0.13)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.417 0.42)16.18% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (0.754 0.75)45.64% (-0.754 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 18.09%
    Marseille 59.25%
    Draw 22.65%
LorientDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 12.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 10.98% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.67% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 3.04% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 59.25%

How you voted: Lorient vs Marseille

Lorient
2.0%
Draw
6.1%
Marseille
91.8%
49
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 6pm
Marseille
3-1
Lorient
Kolasinac (38'), Sanchez (53'), Veretout (59')
Under (50')
Moffi (29')
May 8, 2022 4.05pm
Lorient
0-3
Marseille

Lemoine (56')
Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
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