Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.