Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 12pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSG
4 - 3
Lille
The Match
Match Report
Lionel Messi scores a 95th-minute free kick to rescue a topsy-turvy 4-3 victory for Paris Saint-Germain against Lille, after they had earlier blown a 2-0 lead.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paris Saint-Germain could line up for Sunday's Ligue 1 clash with Lille.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.62%. A win for Lille had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
56.62% ( 0.23) | 21.21% ( 0) | 22.16% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.31) | 36.83% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.99% ( -0.34) | 59% ( 0.34) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.06% ( -0.04) | 12.94% ( 0.03) |
