Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
