Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 25.33% ( | 22.99% ( | 51.67% ( | 
| Both teams to score 58.74% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.27% ( | 41.73% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.87% ( | 64.13% ( | 
| FC Utrecht Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.13% ( | 29.87% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.04% ( | 65.96% ( | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.77% ( | 16.23% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.26% ( | 45.74% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 2-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 3-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 25.33%  | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.99%  | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 1-5 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.67%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 
| 2 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 
| 4 | Vitesse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 8 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 10 | Almere CityAlmere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 12 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 
| 17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 
| 18 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
