

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 43.41% ( | 24.62% ( | 31.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( | 44.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( | 67.26% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( | 20.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.57% ( | 53.42% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( | 26.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.85% ( | 62.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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