Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 54.87% ( | 23.65% ( | 21.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( | 48.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( | 70.75% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( | 17.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.83% ( | 48.17% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( | 37.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.15% ( | 73.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.87% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.65% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Ajax | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 49 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 49 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 23 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 18 |
| 17 | Groningen | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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