MX23RW : Sunday, March 5 16:14:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Cambuur
Emmen
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
NEC
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Jan 25, 2023 at 8pm UK at Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht
1 - 0
Excelsior
Douvikas (6')
Booth (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Koopmeiners (45+1'), Azarkan (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, January 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Volendam
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-1 SBV Excelsior

With the visitors being in the better form, they will fancy their chances of collecting another three points on Wednesday. However, Utrecht are a solid team on home territory, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
54.87% (-0.718 -0.72) 23.65% (0.362 0.36) 21.48% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-1.108 -1.11)48.63% (1.104 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-1.016 -1.02)70.75% (1.012 1.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (-0.664 -0.66)17.6% (0.661 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.83% (-1.163 -1.16)48.17% (1.161 1.16)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (-0.275 -0.27)37.06% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.274 -0.27)73.85% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 54.87%
    SBV Excelsior 21.48%
    Draw 23.65%
FC UtrechtDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 54.87%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.243 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.098 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 21.48%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Excelsior

FC Utrecht
84.6%
Draw
12.8%
SBV Excelsior
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
Feb 4, 2018 11.30am
Excelsior
2-2
Utrecht
Elbers (22'), Faik (77')
Haspolat (72')
Van der Maarel (25'), Labyad (73')
Kerk (83')
Nov 19, 2017 1.30pm
Utrecht
3-1
Excelsior
Dessers (8'), Ayoub (56'), Janssen (64')
El Azzouzi (88')
Elbers (40')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Paul
De Minaur
6 4 1
3 6 6
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Feyenoord24167154223255
2AZ AlkmaarAZ24155450282250
3Ajax23147265234249
4PSV EindhovenPSV24154561283349
5FC Twente24118539211841
6Sparta RotterdamSparta24117636261040
7FC UtrechtUtrecht2410773937237
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk248883937232
9Heerenveen248792732-531
10NECNijmegen2361253022830
11Fortuna SittardSittard2485113141-1029
12Go Ahead Eagles236893339-626
13Vitesse2458112842-1423
14FC VolendamVolendam2465132853-2523
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior2462162158-3720
16EmmenEmmen2439122143-2218
17Groningen2445152549-2417
18Cambuur2334161339-2613

Subscribe to our Newsletter


Match previews - Daily
Transfer Talk Daily
Morning Briefing (7am UTC)
Ultra close-up image of Kevin De Bruyne [NOT FOR USE IN ARTICLES]Get the latest transfer news, match previews and news direct to your inbox!