

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers | 
| 40.25% ( | 25.79% ( | 33.96% ( | 
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.46% ( | 49.53% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.44% ( | 71.56% ( | 
| Montpellier HSC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.32% ( | 58.67% ( | 
| Angers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.15% ( | 27.85% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.55% ( | 63.45% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers | 
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.25%  | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78%  | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.96%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 | 
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 | 
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 | 
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 | 
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 | 
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 | 
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 | 
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 | 
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 | 
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 | 
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 | 
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 | 
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 | 
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 | 
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 | 
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 | 
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 | 
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 | 
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 | 
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 | 
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
