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Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Montpellier
Troyes
0 - 1
Montpellier

Agoume (8'), Chavalerin (81')
Ndiaga Yade (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khazri (90')
Chotard (57')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Brest
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 2-3 Montpellier HSC

 Given that Montpellier have shown some improved signs in recent weeks, we expect them to emerge as narrow victors, in what should be an end-to-end game with plenty of goals. La Paillade are heading into the match off the back of a confidence-boosting victory, while Troyes have been in very poor form for a long time, and we cannot see that changing on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawMontpellier HSC
38.77% (0.78 0.78) 26.29% (-0.133 -0.13) 34.93% (-0.639 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.11% (0.369 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.505 0.51)51.55% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.438 0.44)73.34% (-0.431 -0.43)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.669 0.67)26% (-0.662 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.89 0.89)61.03% (-0.883 -0.88)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.146 -0.15)28.23% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.186 -0.19)63.93% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 38.77%
    Montpellier HSC 34.93%
    Draw 26.29%
TroyesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.77%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.93%

How you voted: Troyes vs Montpellier

Troyes
34.0%
Draw
20.0%
Montpellier HSC
46.0%
50
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Montpellier
3-2
Troyes
Sainte-Luce (3'), Savanier (15', 81')
Makouana (52')
Tardieu (12' pen.), Balde (17')
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Montpellier
0-1
Troyes

Mollet (39'), Souquet (58'), Chotard (66'), Mavididi (68'), Ferri (87')
Savanier (63')
Chavalerin (74')
Biancone (21')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Troyes
1-1
Montpellier
Touzghar (37')
Dingome (44'), Banhie-Zoukrou (71'), Chavalerin (81'), Rodrigues (90+1')
Savanier (87')
Thuler (23'), Ferri (49'), Savanier (51')
Thuler (79')
May 12, 2018 8pm
Montpellier
1-1
Troyes
Cozza (58')
Azamoum (31')
Sep 16, 2017 7pm
Troyes
0-1
Montpellier

Azamoum (40'), Grandsir (71'), Vizcarrondo (76'), Herelle (87')
Vizcarrondo (90')
Mendes (32')
Sambia (19'), Mendes (79'), Lecomte (80')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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