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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Troyes
Toulouse
4 - 1
Troyes
Dallinga (16'), Chaibi (36'), van den Boomen (55' pen.), Onaiwu (88')
Dupe (10'), Rouault (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Balde (12' pen.)
Agoume (42'), Salmier (45'), Porozo (74')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-0 Troyes

 Toulouse enjoyed an unbeaten January to start 2023 in style and now face a struggling Troyes side at home in their first fixture of an action-packed February. Troyes earned a respectable point against Lens last time out but expended a lot of energy in the process, meaning a trip to Stadium de Toulouse on Wednesday evening is set to be a very tricky assignment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawTroyes
64.53% (0.121 0.12) 20.33% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 15.14% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.69% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)44.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)66.6% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (0.028999999999996 0.03)12.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.56% (0.058 0.06)39.44% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (-0.134 -0.13)41.76% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (-0.116 -0.12)78.23% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 64.52%
    Troyes 15.14%
    Draw 20.33%
ToulouseDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.7% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 64.52%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.33%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.14%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Troyes

Toulouse
78.7%
Draw
19.1%
Troyes
2.1%
47
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 2pm
Troyes
0-3
Toulouse

Kouame (42'), Tardieu (74')
Larouci (36' og.), Ratao (54'), Healey (85')
Dallinga (30')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
Troyes
1-1
Toulouse
Dingome (50')
Giraudon (29'), Salmier (36'), El Hajjam (90+3')
Adli (15')
Spierings (30'), Dejaegere (38'), Healey (70')
Oct 3, 2020 2pm
Toulouse
0-0
Troyes

Diakite (36'), Gabrielsen (80'), Adli (90+4'), Sidibe (90+5')
Diakite (53')

Batlles (89')
Jan 27, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
1-0
Troyes
Sanogo (11')
Sangare (47')

Gabriel (38'), Vizcarrondo (43'), Azamoum (87'), Tinhan (90')
Giraudon (3')
Sep 9, 2017 7pm
Troyes
0-0
Toulouse

Traore (19'), Niane (48')

Delort (7'), Durmaz (17'), Amian (18')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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