Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.