| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
| 50.47% ( | 23.71% ( | 25.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( | 44.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( | 17.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.63% ( | 48.37% ( |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( | 30.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.72% ( | 67.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Troyes |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.7% Total : 50.47% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.88% Total : 25.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 66 |
| 2 | Marseille | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 56 |
| 3 | Lens | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Rennes | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 47 |
| 6 | Lille | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Nice | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Reims | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Lyon | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Clermont | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 33 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Brest | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 23 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 21 |
| 19 | Troyes | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 20 |
| 20 | Angers | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 10 |
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