

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 56.16% ( | 24.51% ( | 19.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( | 54.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( | 75.84% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( | 19.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.94% ( | 51.06% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.31% ( | 42.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.98% ( | 79.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 86 | 27 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 83 | 27 | 56 | 79 |
| 3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 30 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Braga | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 65 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 43 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 37 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 35 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 29 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 27 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
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