Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
48.3% (![]() | 27.64% (![]() | 24.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.99% (![]() | 61.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19% (![]() | 81% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% (![]() | 25.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.75% (![]() | 60.24% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.43% (![]() | 41.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.94% (![]() | 78.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.47% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 48.3% | 1-1 @ 12.7% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 9.28% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
2 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
3 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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